Gary Johnson At 3% In Final CNN/ORC National Poll

Hot off the interwebz, the latest CNN/ORC Poll has Gary Johnson at 3% among registered voters and 2% among likely voters.

Now while this would fall short of the 5% that the former New Mexico Governor is hoping for, if it holds it would mean somewhere north of 2.5 million votes for the Libertarian Party candidate.

Sadly, because of the media blackout on the Johnson campaign, most Americans will probably hear Gary Johnson's name for the first time on election night when the results are tallied. Little did they know that there was an actual fiscally conservative, socially tolerant candidate on the ballot that will turn out to be the X Factor in the election.

Q Suppose that the Presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for? (IF UNSURE) As of today, who do you lean more toward? (RANDOM ORDER)

Likely Voters Obama Romney Johnson Stein None No Opinion Nov 2-4, 2012 48% 48% 2% 1% * 1% Sept 28-30, 2012 47% 44% 4% 3% 1% 1% Sept 7-9, 2012 51% 43% 3% 1% 1% 1%
Registered Voters Obama Romney Johnson Stein None No Opinion Nov 2-4, 2012 48% 46% 3% 1% 1% 1% Sept 28-30, 2012 47% 43% 4% 3% 2% * Sept 7-9, 2012 50% 41% 4% 2% 1% *

Via Memeorandum

Gary Johnson At 3% In Latest CNN/ORC Florida Poll

CNN/ORC Poll

Q Suppose that the Presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, Jill Stein as the Green party candidate and Virgil Goode as the Constitution Party candidate who would you be more likely to vote for? - (IF UNSURE) As of today, who do you lean more toward? (RANDOM ORDER)

October 17-18 Obama Romney Johnson Stein Goode None No Opinion Likely Voters 47% 48% 2% * 1% * * Registered Voters 49% 42% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2%
* less than 1%

Gary Johnson At 3% In Arizona In New Behavior Research Center/Rocky Mountain Poll

In yet another state, Gary Johnson is playing a major role in the outcome in the Presidential race. With their respective bases all but sewn up, Obama and Romney are needing the independent vote but in this current Arizona poll, Governor Johnson is polling at 7%, with 18% still undecided.

This poll shows that there is even more room for Gary Johnson to grow his vote total in the Grand Canyon State as a demographic groups show at least 10% are still undecided.

Given the amount of media that both Obama and Romney receive, for this many people to have not made up there minds with less than 30 days until the election, Gov Johnson could win some of these votes.

Behavior Research Center/Rocky Mountain Poll

Q If the election for President of the United States were being held today and the candidates were (ROTATE SEQUENCE) Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, Green Party Jill Stein and Libertarian Gary Johnson which one would you vote for?

October 4-10, 2012 Obama Romney Johnson Stein Not Sure Likely Voters 42% 40% 3% 2% 13% Registered Voters 44% 42% 3% 1% 10%

Latest PPP Virginia Poll Has Gary Johnson At 4%

Well the Johnson campaign has to be happy about this, a 2% jump in the latest PPP Virginia poll from just two weeks ago.

I know I'm giddy.

Q If the candidates for President this fall were
Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt
Romney, Libertarian Gary Johnson,
Constitution Party candidate Virgil Goode, and
Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would
you vote for?

Barack Obama..... 48%
Mitt Romney...... 44%
Gary Johnson...... 4%
Virgil Goode...... 1%
Jill Stein........ 0%
Undecided......... 2%

But the news is even better when you look at the crosstabs. Governor Johnson is up in every polling subgroup with significant movement among some. And yes, +4% in only two weeks, at this late stage in the race, for a 3rd party candidate with little exposure is significant.

Very liberal +4
Somewhat liberal +3
Moderate +1
Somewhat conservative +3
Very conservative +4

Women +4
Men +1

Democrat +4
Republican +1
Independent +4

White +3
African American +1
Other +3

18-29 +4
30-45 +4
45-65 +2
Over 65 +1

I realize it is only one state but what this proves is that Gary Johnson is getting his message out there and the electorate is responding positively. Just imagine where his national poll numbers would be if the lamestream mediots gave him equal time or if he was allowed to debate against Obamney.

Those of us who support Gary Johnson have less than 30 days to get the word out. Anything can happen between now and November 6; it will only take one game changing event and Gary Johnson could shock the world.

Gary Johnson Steady At 4% In Latest CNN National Poll

Just in from CNN is the latest CNN/ORC national poll where Gary Johnson is now polling at 4% among likely voters nationwide.

Q Suppose that the Presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for? (RANDOM ORDER)

Likely Voters Obama Romney Johnson Stein None No Opinion Sept 28-30, 2012 47% 44% 4% 3% 1% 1% Sept 7-9, 2012 51% 43% 3% 1% 1% *
Registered Voters Obama Romney Johnson Stein None No Opinion Sept 28-30, 2012 47% 43% 4% 3% 2% * Sept 7-9, 2012 50% 41% 4% 2% 1% *

A lot to like here for the Johnson campaign who gained a 1% increase among likely voters from the CNN/ORC poll earlier this month.

Overall he is up with Liberals (+5%), Democrats(+1%) and Independents (+1%), while the only downturn is among Moderates (-1%). He remains steady among Republicans and Conservatives.

[The real head scratcher in all the numbers is that Governor Johnson is polling higher than Green Party candidate Jill Stein with Liberals (5% versus 3%) while she is polling better among likely GOP voters (3% versus 2%) than the fiscally conservative former New Mexico Governor. You would think it would be the other way around.]

This poll shows that without a doubt, Gary Johnson's message is getting out there and it is being well received. At a point when 3rd party candidates start to trail off, Governor Johnson is actually gaining ground.

Just imagine where he would be right now if the mediots didn't black him out and he was in the debates. There is no doubt in my mind that if people had a chance to hear his message sooner, he would would be up in the 15-20% range right now, with a chance to win in the final month.

But there is no use dwelling in the past. The campaign must push forward and do the best that it can in the time remaining.

Via Memeorandum

A Letter To The Editor Regarding Southwest Airlines And The Presidential Debates

You may not be aware of this but because of pressure from consumers, 3 sponsors have pulled out of the Presidential Debates thus far. On Monday it was BBH New York, on Wednesday the YWCA dropped out and on Friday it was Philips Electronics.

As you can see, public opinion does matter to large corporations. With that in mind, we need to make it known to the other debate sponsors that there are those of us who are not happy with the Commission on Presidential Debates' decision to exclude other qualified 3rd party candidates from the upcoming debates.

Well, Southwest Airlines is one of those debate sponsors. They need to be put on notice that we are unhappy with their decision to support the exclusion of qualified 3rd party candidates who are on the ballots in enough states to have access to 270 or more electoral votes and thus a mathematical chance of winning the Presidency.

By excluding these candidates, Libertarian Gary Johnson and the Green Party's Jill Stein, Southwest, as well as the remaining six other sponsors, are actively silencing the voices of candidates who can influence the outcome of the election.

We know Southwest Airlines' senior management is aware of the issue as responses to email inquiries to the company show.

After careful review of the CPD’s request for Southwest Airlines involvement in the upcoming debates, our Senior Leaders felt that the core values of Southwest Airlines aligned with the CPD’s mission of providing American Citizens the opportunity to make informed decisions.

To this end, we must continue to pressure Southwest to reconsider their sponsorship and end their involvement with these sham debates.

I ask you all to email a Letter to the Editor of the Dallas Morning News (200 words or less), the major daily newspaper in Southwest's home city of Dallas. Also provided are the email addresses to Southwest executives so they may receive a copy of your letter. Blind copies should be sent to three additional Texas newspapers in cities served by Southwest as well.

Together we can make our voices and the voices of all qualified Presidential candidates heard.

Thank you for your support.

Here is a copy of the email that I sent, but remember to be effective you should use your own words.

To: letters@dallasnews.com, letterstoeditor@dallasnews.com

cc: gary.kelly@wnco.com, jeff.lamb@wnco.com, ron.ricks@wnco.com, dave.ridley@wnco.com, kevin.krone@wnco.com, linda.rutherford@wnco.com, ellen.torbert@wnco.com

bcc: letters@statesman.com, viewpoints@chron.com, letters@express-news.net

Subject: Why is Southwest Airlines limiting our choices in the upcoming Presidential election?

To the editor:

As a businessman who is a frequent traveler through Dallas and who regularly uses Southwest for my other business and personal travel, I am disheartened to hear that Southwest is suggesting that I only have the choice to vote for a Republican or a Democrat for President.

In sponsoring the Commission on Presidential Debates, an organization of professional Republican and Democratic functionaries in DC, Southwest is doing just that; preventing me and two hundred million other American voters from hearing other qualified candidates for President who will be on the majority of ballots this November.

I strongly disagree with Southwest's statement to me that, "The Senior Leadership of Southwest Airlines felt that their core values aligned with the CPD’s mission of providing American Citizens the opportunity to make informed decisions" given they are not allowing the American electorate to hear all the options in order to make that informed decision.

If a "core value" of Southwest is to silence the voices of qualified Presidential candidates, other than those from the Democratic or Republican parties, I wish to no longer do business with them.

Southwest should stay out of politics and not have a hand in influencing this important election.

Chris Walsh
San Tan Valley, AZ

And, if you wish to get in touch with the other six sponsors, here is their contact info as well:

Crowell & Moring LLP
At Crowell – Moring LLC, the Chairman is Kent A. Gardiner and his email is
kgardiner@crowell.com

Anheuser-Busch, Inc.
One Busch Place
St. Louis, MO 63118
800-342-5283
E-mail Contact Form: http://contactus.anheuser-busch.com/Contactus/email.asp

The Howard G. Buffet Foundation
158 W Prairie Ave, Suite 107
Decatur, IL 62523-1442
Also:
121 S 51st St
Omaha, NE 68132
402-556-6641

Sheldon S. Cohen, Esq.
Farr, Miller & Washington
1020 19th Street, NW, Suite 200
Washington, DC 20036
800-390-3277
202-530-5600
202-530-5508 Fax
Email: sscohen@farrmiller.com

International Bottled Water Association
1700 Diagonal Road
Suite 650
Alexandria, VA 22314
703-683-5213
703-683-4074 Fax
Email: ibwainfo@bottledwater.org
800-WATER-11 (Information Hotline)
http://bottledwater.org

The Kovler Fund
aka Marjorie Kovler Research Fellowship
c/o John F. Kennedy Presidential Library and Museum
Columbia Point
Boston, MA 02125
617-514-1624
617-514-1625 Fax
Email: kennedy.library@nara.gov

Gary Johnson At 4% In New CNN National Poll

Yes, you are reading that right, CNN actually included Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson, along with the Green Party's Jill Stein, in their latest national poll.

Granted they omitted both 3rd party candidates from the accompanying story, but you have to crawl before you can walk and this is definitely a good start.

[The cynic in me knows that the reasoning behind this is that CNN knew they would poll low and the Commission on Presidential Debates can point to it as justification to exclude 3rd Party candidates from the debates.]

Q Suppose that the Presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for? (RANDOM ORDER)

Sept. 7-9, 2012 Obama Romney Johnson Stein None No Opinion Likely Voters 51% 43% 3% 1% 1% 1% Registered Voters 50% 41% 4% 2% 1% *

Of course, national polls are worthless because that is not the way the Electoral College works.

That said, the most interesting cross tab in the CNN poll is that when Gary Johnson is included he pulls 9% among likely Independent voters. This kills Romney's support with this group from 54% head to head with Obama to 46% in the 4 way. Obama is at 40% in both matchups.

Another place where Governor Johnson hurts Romney is among likely moderate voters. Head to head against Obama, Romney has 37% support. When Gary Johnson is added to the mix, his 6% drops the former Massachusetts Governor down to 32%; while the President holds steady at 59% in both.

With the two major party candidates being secure among their respective bases, Obama with Democrats and liberals and Romney with Republicans and conservatives, this race is going to be won or lost in the middle.

But what lies in the middle is roughly 30% of the electorate and this group is typically underrepresented in most polling.

With this in mind, is it any wonder that the Republiocrats do not want Gary Johnson in the debates? This is also the reason that the GOP is working so hard to challenge Gary Johnson's ballot status, especially in key swing states that Romney must win to get elected.

The establishment could be in for a big surprise come election day when Gary Johnson could out-perform his poll numbers by a large margin. This will be especially true if he manages to get any semblance of fair media coverage.

The middle is fed up with the partisan BS and could be just angry enough to pull the lever on November 6th for Gary Johnson.

Just you wait and see.

Via Memeorandum